World Covid Meter: Data, predictions and facts

Cases:1M: April 2, 2 M April 15, 3 M: April 27, 4 M May 8; 5 M 20 May, 6 M 30^th May, 7 M 7^th June, 8M by 15 June, 9 M 22^nd June, 10 M 29^th June. 11 M 4^th July, 16 M , 17 M 29 July, 18 M 1^st August, 21 .8 M 16 August, 25 M 30^th August, 28 M 10 September,

Ground Zero: Wuhan in live animal market or cafeteria for animal pathogens: 10th January; Total cases are based on RT PCR, 67% sensitivity

Coronavirus Cases: 63,584,784; Deaths: 1,473,741; Recovered: 43,980,097; ACTIVE CASES 18,130,946; Currently Infected Patients 18,025,017 (99.4%) in Mild Condition; Serious or Critical CLOSED CASES 45,453,838; Cases which had an outcome: 43,980,097 (97%) Recovered / Discharged 1,473,741 (3%) Deaths

India: 30th December: New Cases 31179, New Deaths 482, Total cases 9463254, Total Deaths 137659, Active Cases 437000

USA Minus India New Cases per Day: Over 120,000 Difference

Doubling time over 76 days

29^th November: New Cases 39036, New deaths 444, Total Cases 9432075, Total Deaths 137177, Active Cases 448585

28^th November: New Cases 39567, New Deaths 639, Total Cases 9390791, Total Deaths 136705, Active Cases 454837

27^th November: New cases 41353, New deaths 486, Total Cases 9351224, Total Deaths 136238, Active Cases 456100

26^th November: New Cases 43174, New Deaths 491, Total cases 9309871, Total Deaths 135752, Active Cases 456410

25^th November: New Cases 44699, New Deaths 620, Total Cases 9266697, Total Deaths 135261, Active Cases 453450

24^th November: New cases 44276, New Deaths 489, Total Cases 9221988, Total Deaths 134743, Active Cases 445851

23^rd November: New cases 37410, New Deaths  481, Total cases 9177722, Total Deaths 134254, Active Cases 439893

22^nd November: New cases 44404, New Deaths 510, Total Cases 9140312, Total Deaths 169197, Active Cases 445095

21^st November: New Cases 45295, New deaths 499, Total Deaths 9095908, Total Deaths 133263, Active Cases 442606

20^th November: New Cases 46288, New Deaths 562, Total Cases 9050613, Total Deaths 132764, Active Cases 441952

19^th November: New Cases 46182, New Deaths 584, Total Cases 9004325, Total Deaths 132202, Active Cases 445107

18^th November: New Cases 45439, New Deaths 587, Total Cases 8958143, Total Deaths 131618, Active Cases 444755

17^th November: New Cases 38532, New deaths 472, Total Cases 8912704, Total Deaths 131031, Active Cases 448660
16^th November: New Cases 28555, New Deaths 450, Total Cases 8874172, Total Deaths 130559, Active Cases 455444,

15^th November: New cases 30715, New Deaths 435, Total Cases 8845617 (8.8. Million), Total Deaths 130109, Active Cases 467558

14^th November: New Cases 41659, New Deaths 449, Total Cases 8814902, Total Deaths 129674, Active Cases 481491

13^th November: New cases 45343, New Deaths 539, Total Cases 8773243, Total Deaths 129225, Active Cases 482551

12^th November: New Cases 43861, New Deaths 521, Total Cases 8727900, Total Deaths 128686, Active Cases 8113345

11^th November: New Cases 48285, New Deaths 549, Total Cases 10703056, Total Deaths 128164, Active Cases 491327

10^th November: New Cases 44679, New Deaths 511, Total Cases 8635754, Total Deaths 127615, Active Cases 8011844

9^th November: New cases 37211, New Deaths 451, Total Cases 8591075, Total Deaths 127104, Active Cases 506765

8^th November: New Cases 46661, New Deaths 491, Total Cases 8553864, Total Deaths 126653, Active Cases 511551

7^th November: New Cases 46318, New deaths 557, Total cases 8507203, Total Deaths 126162, Active Cases 513750

6^th November: New Cases 49851, New Deaths 576, Total Cases 8460885, Total Deaths 125605

5^th November: New Cases 47622, New Deaths 675, Total Cases 8411034, Total Deaths 125029, Active Cases 3335730

4^th November: New Cases 50465, New Deaths 704, Total Cases 8363412, Total Deaths 124354, Active Cases 528428

3^rd November: New Cases 46033, New Deaths 511, Total Cases 8312947, Total Deaths 123650, Active Cases 534540

2^nd November: New Cases 37592, New Deaths  497, Total Cases 8266914, Total Deaths 123139, Active Cases 542346

1^st November: New Cases 46441, New Deaths 493, Total Cases 8229322, Total Deaths 122642, Active Cases 563775

31^st October: New Cases 46715, New Deaths 468, Total Cases 8182881, Total Deaths 122149, Active Cases 571529

30^th October: New Cases 48120, New Deaths 550, Total Cases 813666, Total Deaths 121681, Active Cases 583574

29^th October: New Cases 49281, New Deaths 568, Total Cases 8088046, Total Deaths 121131

28^th October: New cases 49912, New Deaths 509, Total cases 8038765, Total Deaths 120563, Active Cases 603251

27^th October: New Cases 42965, New deaths 519, Total Cases 7988853, Total Deaths 120054, Active Cases 611605

26^th October: New Cases 36838, New deaths 505, Total Cases 7945888, Total Deaths 119535, Active Cases 627638

25^th October: New Cases 45158, New Deaths 463, Total Cases 7909050, Total Deaths 119030, Active Cases 656026

24^th October: New Cases 50224, New Deaths 575, Total Cases 7863892, Total Deaths 118567, Active Cases 7075723

23^rd October: New Cases 54028, New Deaths 656, Total Cases 7813668, Total Deaths 117992, Active Cases 682107

22^nd October: New Cases 54482, New Deaths 683, Total Cases 7759640, Total Deaths 117336, Active Cases 695979

21^st October: New cases 56000, New Deaths 703, Total Cases 7705158, Total Deaths 116653, Active Cases 716610

20^th October: New Cases 54422, New Deaths 714, Total Cases 7649158, Total Deaths 115950, Active Cases 740658

19^th October: New Cases 46498, New Death 594, Total Cases 7594736, Total Deaths 115236, Active Cases 748883

18^th October: New Cases 55511, New Deaths 578, Total Cases 7548238, Total Deaths 114642, Active Cases 773701

17^th October: New Cases 62092, New deaths 1032, Total Cases 7492727, Total Deaths 114064, Active Cases 784264

16^th October: New Cases 65126, New Deaths 886, Total Cases 7430635, Total Deaths 113032, Active Cases 795969

15^th October: New Cases 67988, New Deaths 694, Total Cases 7305070, Total Deaths 111311, Active Cases 813303

14^th October: New cases 67988, New Deaths 694, Total Cases 7305070, Total Deaths 111311

13^th October: New cases 63517, New Deaths 723, Total Cases 7237082, Total Deaths 110617, Active Cases 827760

12^th October: New Cases 54265, New Deaths 710, Total Cases 7173565, Total Deaths 109894, Active Cases 938879

11^th October: New Cases 67757, New Deaths 813, Total Cases 7119300, Total Deaths 19184, Active Cases 868689

10^th October New Cases 74535, New Deaths 921, Total Cases 7051543, Total Deaths 108371, Active Cases 868309

9^th October: New Cases 73196, New Deaths 929, Total Cases 6977008, Total Deaths 107450, Active Cases 884053

8^th October: New Cases 70824, New Deaths 967, Total Cases 6903812, Total Deaths 106521

7^th October: New Cases 78809, New Deaths 963, Total Cases 6832988, Total Deaths 105554, Active Cases 902972

6^th October: New Cases 72106, New Deaths 991, Total Cases 6754179, Total Deaths 104591, Active Cases 908335

5^th October: New cases 59893, New Deaths 886, Total cases 6682073, Total Deaths 103600, Active Cases 919363

4^th October: New cases 74767, New Deaths 902, Total Cases 6622180, Total Deaths 102714, Active cases 936013

3^rd October: New Cases 75479, New Deaths 937, Total cases 654413, Total Deaths 101812

2^nd October: New cases 79974, New Deaths 1071, Total Cases 6471934, Total Deaths 100875

1^st October: New Cases 81693, New Deaths 1096, Total Cases 6391960, Total Deaths 99804

30^th September: New Cases 86748, New Deaths 1179, Total Cases 6310267, Total Deaths 98708

29^th September: New cases 97529, New Deaths 1178, Total Cases 6223519, Total Deaths 97529

28^th September: New cases 69671, New Deaths 777, Total Cases 6143019, Total Deaths 96351

27^th September: New Cases 82767, New Deaths 1040, Total Cases 6073348, Total Deaths 95574

26^th September: New cases 89010, New Deaths 1124, Total Cases 5990581, Total Deaths 94534

25^th September: New cases 85468, New Deaths 1093, Total Cases 5901571, Total Deaths 93410

24^th September: New Cases 85919, New Deaths 1144, Total cases 5816103, Total Deaths 92317,

23^rd September: New cases 89688, New Deaths 1152, Total Cases 5730184, Total Deaths 91173

22^nd September: New cases 80391, New Deaths 1056, Total Cases 5640496, Total Deaths 90021

21^st September: New Cases 74493, New Deaths 1056, Total Cases 5560105, Total Deaths 88965

20^th September: New cases 87382, New deaths 1135, Total Cases 5485612, Total Deaths 87909

19^th September: New cases 92755, New deaths 1149, Total cases 5398230, Total Deaths 86774

18^th September: New cases 92789, New Deaths 122, Total Cases 5305475, Total Deaths 85625

17^th September: New cases 96793, New Deaths 1174, Total cases 5212686, Total Deaths 84404

16^th September: New cases 97859, New Deaths 1139, Total cases 5115893, Total Deaths 83230

15^th September: New cases 91120, New Deaths 1283, Total Cases 5018-34, Total Deaths 82091

14^th September: New cases 81911, New Deaths 1054, Total Cases 4926914, Total Deaths 80808

13^th September: New cases 93215, New Deaths 1140, Total Cases 4845003, Total Deaths 79754

12^th September: New cases 94409, New Deaths 1108, Total Cases 4751788, Total Deaths 78614

11^th September: New cases 97654, New Deaths 1202, Total Cases 4657379, Total Deaths 77506

10^th September: New cases 96760, New Deaths 1213, Total Cases 4559725, Total Deaths 76304

India predictions

1. Death Rate is deaths today vs number of cases today
2. Corrected Death Rate is deaths today vs number of cases 14 days back
3. For one symptomatic test positive case there are 10-30 asymptomatic cases and 20 untested cases
4. Estimated Number of deaths = Reported deaths x 2
5. Number of deaths today should be 15% of the serious patients present 14 days back
6. Undocumented cases for each documented case [Iceland: 1: 2; German: 1: 5; New York City grocery store shoppers: 1: 10;California 1.5%
7. Amongst active 2.37% are serious, 1.82% need oxygen, and 0.41% need ventilator support.

Facts

DENSITY: India: In states with average population density of 1185 /sk km the average number of cases were 2048. On the contrary in states with population density of 909/ sk km the number of cases were 56. (When Chandigarh and Pondicherry were taken out from this group) the Average Density of other states were 217 and the average number of cases were 35 [HCFI]

COVID Sutra: COVID-19 Pandemic is due to SARS 2 Beta Corona Viruses (different from SARS 1 where spread was only in serious cases); with over eleven virus sequences floating; has affected up to 22.8% of Delhi population, Causes Mild or Atypical Illness in 82%, Moderate to Severe Illness in 15%, Critical Illness in 3% and Death in 2.3% cases (15% of admitted serious cases, 71% with comorbidity< Male > Females); affects all ages but Predominantly Males (56%, 87% aged 30-79, 10% Aged < 20, 3% aged > 80); with Variable Incubation Period days (2-14; mean 5.2 days);  Mean Time to Symptoms 5 days;  Mean Time to Pneumonia 9 days, Mean Time to Death 14 days,  Mean Time to CT changes 4 Days, Reproductive Number R0 1.5 to 3  (Flu 1.2 and SARS 2), Epidemic Doubling Time 7.5 days; Origin Possibly from Bats (Mammal); Spreads via Human to Human Transmission via Large and Small Droplets and Surface to Human Transmission via Viruses on Surfaces for up to three days. Enters through MM of eyes, nose or mouth and the spike protein gets attached to the ACE2 receptors.  ACE2 receptors make a great target because they are found in organs throughout our bodies ( heart muscle, CNS, kidneys, blood vessels, liver) Once the virus enters, it turns the cell into a factory, making millions and millions of copies of itself — which can then be breathed or coughed out to infect others.